Further Scientific Investigations on the Election Fraud

Further scientific investigations confirms Dr. Walter Mebane conclusions (here) of a significant fraud in the election. Here is a summary of some results provided by a statistics analyst. We will write a simple explanation in Farsi shortly.

1) When the number of void votes in a box is low, you can expect that Ahmadinejad will win Mousavi. This winning is not even happening by a normal shift in distribution of votes but it is because of some votes going directly to Ahmadinejad since the distribution is skewed (and not shifted) toward him. Here is one of definite ways of this fraud: Void votes are going to Ahmadinejad.

For example when voids are less than 0.5% of a box Ahmadinejad gets 75% while Mousavi gets 24%.

2) Percentage of void votes in a city has a significant negative correlation with Ahmadinejad's advantage over Mousavi in that box. negatively correlated with Ahmadinejad and positively correlated with Mousavi too.

3) Percentage of void votes in a city has a significant positive correlation with skewness in distribution of votes between Ahmadinejad and Mousavi. The skewness predicts ahmadinejad's win in that box.

4) Needless to say that whenever the distribution of votes in boxes of a city is skewed it means that Ahmadinejad will win.

5) There is about 1300 boxes with no vote for Rezai + Karoubi + Voids. Literally zero. And needless to say that Ahmadinjead has got 82% of these votes and Mousavi is 18%.

6) There is a box in Lorestan, Pol dokhtar in which number of voids is "Negative 6". As you can expect they haven't missed such a cool box. Ahmadnijead's vote in that box is 13 times more than Mousavi.